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2024/03/13 / Erste Group Research

Magnificent 7 with strong momentum

Rating changes: Imperial Oil, Uber Technologies, Deutsche Bank, Booking Holdings, UnitedHealth Group

The S&P 500 Index recently soared to a new all-time high and has now risen by +9% since the beginning of the year. A large part of the upward trend is attributable to the strong performance of the so-called Magnificent 7 stocks. These are the shares of Microsoft, Apple, NVIDIA, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta and Broadcom. With a combined market capitalization of USD 13,200 billion, they have a weighting of 28% in the S&P 500 Index. These seven technology stocks alone have risen by +14% since the beginning of the year and are therefore largely responsible for the rise in the overall index due to their high weighting.

The valuation of the Magnificent 7 has also fallen since the beginning of the year. While the weighted P/E ratio for the calendar year 2024e was still 31x at the beginning of the year, it has now fallen to 29x. This is because the consensus earnings forecasts have risen even more sharply than the share prices. In our view, the high growth figures in the 4Q23 results and the companies' strong guidance for this year were the justifiable reasons for the higher forecasts. The high demand for hardware and software with a focus on AI solutions will continue in the coming years and the Magnificent 7 have business models to monetize the demand.

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General information

AuthorErste Group Research
Product nameRecommendation List
Topic in focusEquities
Economy in focusEurozone, Germany, United States
Currency in focusEuro, US Dollar
Sector in focusAutomobiles & Parts, Banks, Basic Resources, Chemicals, Construction & Material, Financial Services, Food & Beverage, Health Care, Industrial Goods & Services, Insurance, Media, Oil & Gas, Personal & Household Goods, Retail, Technology, Telecommunications, Travel & Leisure, Utilities