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2024/05/29 / Erste Group Research

NVIDIA as the driving force behind overall US earnings growth

In the US, the 1Q reporting season is 96% complete. The AI chip sector remains very important for the growth figures. With its very good 1Q results, NVIDIA is by far the largest contributor to the earnings growth of the entire S&P 500. If this company were excluded, the earnings growth rate for the index would fall from +6.0% Y/Y to +3.3% Y/Y. In the technology sector, the difference in growth would be even greater. Excluding NVIDIA, the earnings growth rate for the technology sector would fall from +25.4% to +11.1%.

In Europe, just over half of the companies in the Stoxx 600 published their quarterly results. 60% of the companies reported earnings that exceeded consensus estimates. The proportion of positive earnings surprises was therefore well above the long-term average of 54%. The expected earnings decline for the 1Q is currently -2.3% Y/Y. This is a significant improvement compared to April, when the forecast earnings decline was still -12% y/y.

NVIDIA: 1Q sales of USD 26.0 bn (+18% Q/Q) well above guidance, good outlook for 2Q24

ABB: Moderate organic sales growth in 1Q 2024, very good long-term prospects for profitable growth.
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General information

AuthorErste Group Research
Product nameRecommendation List
Topic in focusEquities
Economy in focusGermany, United States
Currency in focusEuro, US Dollar
Sector in focusAutomobiles & Parts, Banks, Basic Resources, Chemicals, Construction & Material, Financial Services, Food & Beverage, Health Care, Industrial Goods & Services, Insurance, Media, Oil & Gas, Personal & Household Goods, Retail, Technology, Telecommunications, Travel & Leisure, Utilities