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2023/12/21 / Erste Group Research

2024: Profit growth of +9% y/y expected

Rating Changes: Holcim, Waste Management, ExxonMobil, Oracle

The performance of the US stock market this year was determined by the exceptionally high performance of the "Magnificent 7" stocks. These are the shares of: Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon.com, NVIDIA, Tesla Motors and Meta. The performance of these stocks weighted by market capitalization has been +68% since the beginning of the year. The US stock market (S&P 500) rose by +21% overall this year. The prospects that US technology stocks will continue to rise next year are positive. The sector's expected sales growth for 2024 is +10.5% (y/y) and the forecast earnings growth is +16.1% (y/y).

For the global market as a whole, the expectation for earnings growth in 2024 is now +9% y/y in USD. Sales should increase by +5% y/y. In terms of valuation, the global equity index with an expected P/E ratio of 17.8x for 2024e is below the historical average of 19.4x over the last 20 years.

Holcim: Organic growth, EBIT rises sharply

Waste Management: Sales and margin increase expected in 2024

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General information

AuthorErste Group Research
Product nameRecommendation List
Topic in focusEquities
Economy in focusEurozone, Germany, United States
Currency in focusEuro, US Dollar
Sector in focusAutomobiles & Parts, Banks, Basic Resources, Chemicals, Construction & Material, Financial Services, Food & Beverage, Health Care, Industrial Goods & Services, Insurance, Media, Oil & Gas, Personal & Household Goods, Retail, Technology, Telecommunications, Travel & Leisure, Utilities