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2024/02/28 / Erste Group Research

Romania Special | Equilibrium exchange rate


We apply the most common approaches for estimating the equilibrium exchange rate: Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) and Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). We conclude that appreciation of the real exchange rate over the past 1.5 years in Romania was primarily driven by the energy crisis and higher unit labor costs. Higher FDIs and investments and, recently, lower risk aversion supported the appreciation, albeit to a lesser extent.

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General information

AuthorErste Group Research
Date2024/02/28
Languageen
Product nameCEE Economies Special Report
Topic in focusFX, Macro/ Fixed income
Economy in focusRomania
Currency in focusRomanian Leu
Sector in focus-
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