Research Detail
| 2023/10/27 / Erste Group Research |
USA Earnings Season so far above Expectations Rating Changes: Shell, Arthur J. Gallagher, Alfa Laval, PepsiCo The reporting season in the USA has so far been well above expectations. The earnings growth forecast for 3Q23 is now +2.6% year-on-year. Excluding the energy sector, the growth rate for the index is +7.4%. Moreover, of the 146 corporations in the S&P 500 that have reported earnings to date, 80% have done so above market expectations. This compares to a long-term average of 66%. The forecast for 3Q sales growth is +1.2% (excl. energy: +3.6%). In Europe, earnings are expected to decline by -9.7% year-on-year in 3Q23 (excl. energy: +1.7%). Sales for the final quarter are expected to fall by 5.3% compared to 3Q22 (excl. energy: -1.3%). So far, 58 out of 600 companies have reported Q3 results. Only 40% achieved earnings that exceeded forecasts. On historical average, 54% beat earnings per share expectations. Alphabet: Advertising revenue up in 3Q, Google Cloud revenue up +22% Y/Y JPMorgan: Strong 3Q, profit incl. First Republic up +35%, provisions down significantly |
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General information
| Author | Erste Group Research |
| Date | 2023/10/27 |
| Language |  |
| Product name | Recommendation List |
| Topic in focus | Equities |
| Economy in focus | Germany, Japan, Switzerland, United Kingdom, United States |
| Currency in focus | British Pound, Euro, Swiss Franc, US Dollar |
| Sector in focus | Automobiles & Parts, Banks, Basic Resources, Chemicals, Construction & Material, Financial Services, Food & Beverage, Health Care, Industrial Goods & Services, Insurance, Media, Oil & Gas, Personal & Household Goods, Retail, Technology, Telecommunications, Travel & Leisure, Utilities |
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| Name | ISIN | # Erste Group products |
| Fomento Eco. Mexicano | US3444191064 | 0 |
| General Motors | US37045V1008 | 0 |
| Gilead Sciences | US3755581036 | 0 |
| GlaxoSmithKline | GB0009252882 | 0 |
| Home Depot | US4370761029 | 0 |
| HSBC | GB0005405286 | 0 |
| IBM | US4592001014 | 0 |
| ICICI Bank | US45104G1040 | 0 |
| Inditex | ES0148396007 | 0 |
| Infineon | DE0006231004 | 3 |
| Infosys | INE009A01021 | 0 |
| Intel | US4581401001 | 0 |
| Intuit | US4612021034 | 0 |
| Intuitive Surgical | US46120E6023 | 0 |
| Johnson & Johnson | US4781601046 | 0 |
| JPMorgan | US46625H1005 | 0 |
| Kering | FR0000121485 | 0 |
| Kone | FI0009013403 | 0 |
| Linde | IE000S9YS762 | 0 |
| LOreal | FR0000120321 | 0 |
| LVMH | FR0000121014 | 0 |
| Mastercard | US57636Q1040 | 0 |
| McDonalds | US5801351017 | 0 |
| Mercedes-Benz Group | DE0007100000 | 2 |
| Merck & Co | US58933Y1055 | 0 |