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2024/10/30 / Erste Group Research

Decision in the United States

The US presidential election will take place next Tuesday. The outcome is extremely uncertain. For the European economy, a Trump victory would very likely have far-reaching consequences than if Harris were to win the election. We expect different effects for the individual bond markets in the event of a Trump victory.

Since the beginning of the year, Austrian banks have placed covered bonds with a volume of around EUR 8bn in the benchmark segment. Compared to the same period in 2023, this is a decline of around 40%. The reduced supply of covered bonds could have a positive impact on the development of swap spreads, which have not narrowed compared to the beginning of the year.


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General information

AuthorErste Group Research
Date2024/10/30
Languageen
Product nameCredit News
Topic in focusCredits/ Corporate bonds
Economy in focusAustria, Eurozone
Currency in focusEuro
Sector in focus-
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