Research Detail
| 2024/07/24 / Erste Group Research |
USA with strong 2Q24 earnings, Europe with weakness Rating changes: Caterpillar, D.R. Horton, Morgan Stanley, UnitedHealth Group, LOreal, Merck & Co, Taiwan Semiconductor, Broadcom While the 2Q reporting season got off to a clearly positive start in the US, the outlook in Europe is only very slightly positive. For 2Q24, earnings growth for the STOXX 600 is only a small +0.8% y/y for the index as a whole. Excluding the volatile energy sector, a decline in earnings of -1.8% y/y is now forecast. Forecasts have deteriorated in the last four weeks. A month ago, market expectations were for an increase of +1.8%. The medium-term upward trend on the global markets is intact, as the earnings trend in the US remains almost double-digit positive (2Q24e: +9.3% Y/Y). For the year as a whole, earnings growth of +8% is expected in the US. An acceleration to +14% y/y is forecast for 2025. In Europe, the 2025 earnings forecast is +7% y/y. D.R. Horton: Largest US home builder significantly improves EBIT margins in 2Q, solid outlook for 3Q24 UnitedHealth Group: Strong growth in new customers since the beginning of the year |
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General information
| Author | Erste Group Research |
| Date | 2024/07/24 |
| Language |  |
| Product name | Recommendation List |
| Topic in focus | Equities |
| Economy in focus | Germany, United Kingdom, United States |
| Currency in focus | British Pound, Euro, US Dollar |
| Sector in focus | Automobiles & Parts, Banks, Basic Resources, Chemicals, Construction & Material, Financial Services, Food & Beverage, Health Care, Industrial Goods & Services, Insurance, Media, Oil & Gas, Personal & Household Goods, Retail, Technology, Telecommunications, Travel & Leisure, Utilities |
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Related financial instruments
Page 5 of 5
| Name | ISIN | # Erste Group products |
| Siemens | DE0007236101 | 0 |
| Southern Co | US8425871071 | 0 |
| Starbucks | US8552441094 | 0 |
| T-Mobile US | US8725901040 | 0 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor | TW0002330008 | 0 |
| Tencent | KYG875721634 | 0 |
| Tesla | US88160R1014 | 0 |
| Thermo Fisher Scientific | US8835561023 | 0 |
| Tokyo Electron | JP3571400005 | 0 |
| TotalEnergies | FR0000120271 | 0 |
| Toyota Motor | JP3633400001 | 0 |
| UBS | CH0244767585 | 0 |
| UniCredit | IT0005239360 | 0 |
| Unilever | GB00B10RZP78 | 0 |
| UnitedHealth Group | US91324P1021 | 0 |
| Vale | BRVALEACNOR0 | 0 |
| Verizon | US92343V1044 | 0 |
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals | US92532F1003 | 0 |
| Vinci | FR0000125486 | 0 |
| Visa | US92826C8394 | 0 |
| Volkswagen | DE0007664039 | 4 |
| Walmart | US9311421039 | 0 |
| Walt Disney | US2546871060 | 0 |