Research Detail
| 2023/02/27 / Erste Group Research |
Small increase of global equities expected By now, the reporting season in the US is well advanced. 80% of US companies have reported their 4Q results, with 73% of companies reporting higher-than-expected earnings/share. Overall 4Q earnings/share are down -4.7% (y/y) for US companies so far. A -5.4% (y/y) decline is expected in 1Q 2023 and a -3.4% (y/y) slowdown in 2Q. Positive earnings growth is then expected from 3Q (+3.3% y/y). Full-year 2023 earnings growth is expected to be modest at +2.2% (y/y). The 12-month P/E ratio for the USA 500 index is 17.7x. This P/E ratio is below the 5-year average (18.5x) but above the 10-year average (17.2x). Due to the neutral valuation, only slightly positive earnings momentum and high interest rates, we expect only a small increase in the global equity index in the coming months. TotalEnergies: improving earnings revisions for 2023. New rating. Novo Nordisk: High sales growth in anti-obesity drugs. |
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General information
| Author | Erste Group Research |
| Date | 2023/02/27 |
| Language |  |
| Product name | Recommendation List |
| Topic in focus | Equities |
| Economy in focus | Eurozone, Germany, Japan, United States |
| Currency in focus | Euro, US Dollar |
| Sector in focus | Automobiles & Parts, Banks, Basic Resources, Chemicals, Construction & Material, Financial Services, Food & Beverage, Health Care, Industrial Goods & Services, Insurance, Media, Oil & Gas, Personal & Household Goods, Retail, Technology, Telecommunications, Travel & Leisure, Utilities |
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Related financial instruments
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| Name | ISIN | # Erste Group products |
| Walt Disney | US2546871060 | 0 |
| Walmart | US9311421039 | 0 |
| Volkswagen | DE0007664039 | 4 |
| Visa | US92826C8394 | 0 |
| Vinci | FR0000125486 | 0 |
| Vestas Wind Systems | DK0010268606 | 0 |
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals | US92532F1003 | 0 |
| Verizon | US92343V1044 | 0 |
| Vale | BRVALEACNOR0 | 0 |
| UnitedHealth Group | US91324P1021 | 0 |
| Unilever | GB00B10RZP78 | 0 |
| UniCredit | IT0005239360 | 0 |
| UBS | CH0244767585 | 0 |
| Toyota Motor | JP3633400001 | 0 |
| TotalEnergies | FR0000120271 | 0 |
| Tokyo Electron | JP3571400005 | 0 |
| Thermo Fisher Scientific | US8835561023 | 0 |
| Tesla | US88160R1014 | 0 |
| Tencent | KYG875721634 | 0 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor | TW0002330008 | 0 |
| T-Mobile US | US8725901040 | 0 |
| Starbucks | US8552441094 | 0 |
| Southern Co | US8425871071 | 0 |
| Siemens | DE0007236101 | 0 |
| Shell | GB00B03MLX29 | 0 |