Markets by Region
| 2023/06/07 / Erste Group Research |
| CEE | Baltics | Slow growth and lower inflation |
Baltics | Slow growth and lower inflation As a consequence of the fallout of the war in Ukraine, Baltic economies have witnessed a deceleration in growth, with Estonia even experiencing a period of recession. This year, the projected average expansion will be further curtailed due to a combination of high inflation, diminishing real wages, and stringent financing conditions. Inflationary pressures within the region have surpassed those of all other EU nations, except Hungary, although it is currently displaying a sharp downward trajectory. On the fiscal front, all Baltic countries find themselves in a favorable position, thanks to their prudent policies and the maintenance of low debt levels. The absorption of funds from the Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) has been relatively sluggish, particularly in Estonia, where only pre-financing has been received, with no subsequent payments. Nonetheless, both Estonia and Lithuania intend to seek additional loans through the REPowerEU program to augment their financial resources. |
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General information
| Author | Erste Group Research |
| Date | 2023/06/07 |
| Product type | monthly/ quarterly |
| Product name | CEE Country Macro Outlook |
| Topic in focus | FX, Macro/ Fixed income |
| Language |  |
| Market cap | - |
| Availability | All [1] |
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Analysis and Forecasting
| Date | Headline | Download | |
| 2023/09/29 | | Week Ahead |  |
| 2023/09/29 | | Global Equity Ratings | |
| 2023/09/29 | | August industrial production down by 2.4% y/y | |
| 2023/09/29 | | Retail trade grew 3.0% y/y in August | |
| 2023/09/29 | | Inflation reverted to moderation trajectory in September | |