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2023/10/12 / Erste Group Research

Romania Special | Oil price pass-through into inflation


Oil price shocks driven by geopolitical tensions brought back memories of supply-side inflationary spikes. In our latest special report, we decided to have a closer look at oil price pass-through into domestic consumer prices. We concluded that the main inflationary impact on the first year corresponds to the direct first-round effect, whereas indirect first-round effects are quite modest, but their relevance increases a year after. The second-round effect from wage indexation, on the other hand, seems to be quite modest in the first two years.

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General information

AuthorErste Group Research
Date2023/10/12
Languageen
Product nameCEE Economies Special Report
Topic in focusFX, Macro/ Fixed income
Economy in focusCEE, Romania
Currency in focusRomanian Leu
Sector in focus-
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