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2023/07/12 / Erste Group Research

CEE pivoting issuance to mid- and long-term papers amid declining yields


Foreign issuance of CEE governments slowed down considerably in the second quarter compared to the first three months of 2023. In the second half of the year, the CEE governments will likely focus on the local bond markets.

The decline of the long-term yields should enhance borrowing in the local currency over the hard currency. Further, easing inflation and yields moving south should pivot domestic debt issuance from T-bills more towards mid- and long-term papers. Many CEE countries face fiscal slippage and could be put into Excessive Deficit Procedure next year as general escape clause from EU fiscal rules expires. Sovereign ratings should not deteriorate, as external balances improve.


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General information

AuthorErste Group Research
Date2023/07/12
Languageen
Product nameCEE Bond Market Report
Topic in focusFX, Macro/ Fixed income
Economy in focusCEE, Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia
Currency in focusCroatian Kuna, Czech Koruna, Euro, Hungarian Forint, Polish Zloty, Romanian Leu, Serbian dinar
Sector in focus-
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