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2019/10/07 / Erste Group Research

Time is running out if the United Kingdom wants to achieve an orderly withdrawal from the EU by the end of October. In our view, a hard brexit remains the most likely scenario. Should a hard brexit become more apparent in the coming days, the financial markets could react nervously, as they seem to price in currently a "muddling through", i.e. an extension of the deadline. The safest investments (including the US dollar and the Swiss franc) would then be sought and there could be corrections on the stock markets or in bonds with weaker credit ratings.

General information

AuthorErste Group Research
Product nameVideo
Topic in focusMacro/ Fixed income
Economy in focus-
Currency in focus-
Sector in focus-


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