2024/09/05 / Erste Group Research |
Health Care sector with attractive risk/reward profile Rating changes: Novartis, Royal Bank of Canada, Pfizer, Alimentation Couche-Tard, Cadence Design Systems, Intel The prospects for a medium-term rise in the global stock market index are intact. Corporate sales will rise by around +3.5% this year. The consensus estimate for earnings growth in 2024 is an increase of +6.4%. Next year, earnings growth will rise to +12.6%. The expected P/E ratio 2024 of the global equity market index is 19.8x and the global dividend yield is 1.9%. The valuation is reasonable given the positive growth prospects. Profit growth in the most important countries in the emerging markets varies greatly. The forecast earnings growth of Indian companies is +10.1% (y/y) for 2024 and +13% (y/y) for 2025. The global recommendation list includes India's ICICI Bank as an attractive long-term buy recommendation. The earnings growth of Indian companies is higher than that of Chinese companies. Earnings growth of +7.9% (y/y) is forecast for these companies for 2024 and +7.5% (y/y) for 2025. Novartis: High profit growth of +20% y/y in 2Q24, positive outlook for 2H24 Royal Bank of Canada: 2Q24: Net interest income up 16% y/y, adjusted ROE at 16.4% Intel: Quality problems and high debt, negative risk/reward profile |
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Author | Erste Group Research |
Date | 2024/09/05 |
Language | ![]() |
Product name | Recommendation List |
Topic in focus | Equities |
Economy in focus | Germany, Japan, United Kingdom, United States |
Currency in focus | British Pound, Euro, US Dollar |
Sector in focus | Automobiles & Parts, Banks, Basic Resources, Chemicals, Construction & Material, Financial Services, Food & Beverage, Health Care, Industrial Goods & Services, Insurance, Media, Oil & Gas, Personal & Household Goods, Retail, Technology, Telecommunications, Travel & Leisure, Utilities |
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Name | ISIN | # Erste Group products |
Fomento Eco. Mexicano | US3444191064 | 0 |
General Motors | US37045V1008 | 0 |
Gilead Sciences | US3755581036 | 0 |
GlaxoSmithKline | GB0009252882 | 0 |
Home Depot | US4370761029 | 0 |
HSBC | GB0005405286 | 0 |
IBM | US4592001014 | 0 |
ICICI Bank | US45104G1040 | 0 |
Inditex | ES0148396007 | 0 |
Infineon | DE0006231004 | 3 |
Infosys | INE009A01021 | 0 |
Intel | US4581401001 | 0 |
Intuit | US4612021034 | 0 |
Intuitive Surgical | US46120E6023 | 0 |
Johnson & Johnson | US4781601046 | 0 |
JPMorgan | US46625H1005 | 0 |
Linde | IE000S9YS762 | 0 |
LOreal | FR0000120321 | 0 |
LVMH | FR0000121014 | 0 |
Mastercard | US57636Q1040 | 0 |
McDonalds | US5801351017 | 0 |
Mercedes-Benz Group | DE0007100000 | 2 |
Merck & Co | US58933Y1055 | 0 |
Meta Platforms | US30303M1027 | 0 |
Microsoft | US5949181045 | 0 |
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